don't hang up your skates

Prompted by the latest dire warning from the IPCC, Global News aired a story titled "A bleak outlook": Impacts of climate change on full display in Canada's north. The reporter zeros in on Churchill Manitoba which she describes as an endangered magical place (dark fairy tale?):

But Churchill is on thin ice, as is humanity, according to a report released by the UN earlier this week that says time is running out to prevent the most damaging impacts of the world’s climate crisis.

A spokesman from Climate Change Connection (yet another eco-emergency group) chimes in: It is stark, there’s no doubt about it. It’s showing fairly clearly what the impacts of climate change have been so far on humanity and the planet.

He goes on: Canada as a whole is warming at about twice the rate of the global average, and some parts of the far north, three times. So the impacts on the northern parts of Manitoba and Canada are higher than in other parts of the world.
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The misleading promotion that Canada is warming twice as fast as the rest of the world was exposed in a Financial Post piece that explains how average land-only temperatures (such as Churchill’s) are being inappropriately compared with average land-ocean combined temperatures for the planet. A lot of countries seem to be warming at twice the global rate due to this deception:

The average referred to is the average temperature of the entire planet. The assertion is not that any country is warming twice as fast as the average of every other country. Rather, it is that the country in question is warming faster than the average temperature of the entire planet. But the entire planet is not just the land countries sit on, it is the land and the oceans.
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NASA estimates the average global land-ocean temperature, as displayed by this graph:

​For the last 30 years, which is a weather period accepted by Climatologists as being representative of “climate”, the global combined land-ocean temperature trend is +0.7 C. For land-only however, the most recent 30 year trend is +1.1 C (see orange data line):

​If we compare Churchill to NASA’s land-ocean +0.7 C trend, it supposedly should show at least twice that temperature rise (+1.4 C) over the past 30 years, especially given that it is semi-arctic. If it were fairly compared with NASA’s land-only +1.1 C trend, Churchill should be expected to trend at +2.2 C or higher according to what we’re told. However, the town’s 30 year on thin ice trend is just +0.7 C, the same as for NASA’s land-ocean estimate and much less than NASA’s land-only trend:

Churchill’s climate is currently warming at a rate lower than the average for all the land on Earth. Further, if you go back 25 years instead of 30, Churchill has actually been cooling since 1998. Despite NASA’s January 2023 claim that the past nine years have been the warmest years since modern recordkeeping began, only 2 of those years made the annual warmest mean temperature list for Churchill:
2010 -3.2 C
2006 -3.6 C
1999 -3.9 C
2001 -4.3 C
2021 -4.3 C
1998 -4.5C
1981 -4.9 C
1977 -5.1 C
2012 -5.2 C
2016 -5.2 C

Despite statistical ruse and media hype, abundant ice thickness is still a pretty safe bet in northern Manitoba.